Despite the denial claims of capitalist sceptics loath to acknowledge the prospect of dwindling seaside development profits, as the globe warms there is going to be significant sea-level rise by 2050 and it will be worse by 2100.
So let us look at that prime vacation sunshine state, home of Walt Disney World [most appropriate to those deluding themselves that climate change is not happening] and citrus & orange groves in profusion supplying the world, Florida as an example.
Florida will see more than average sea level-rise, well above the median of the average sea-level rise across the entire ocean surface area. The bald facts are, that in exactly the same way as a global average temperature increase is felt unequally across different locations of the world, so any rise in sea-level rise is felt in unequal proportions. Effectively, the closer a place is to the equator, then the higher the sea-level rise.
Why is that? Partly due to thermal expansion of water as a result of increased warmth, but also due to what’s referred to in physics as centripetal force. However, there is an additional force at work which is the gravitational attraction of the polar ice caps. Essentially as ice caps melt, they relinquish the grip they had on nearby water and it too flows further toward the equator. Not least, there are also the effects of elements such as ocean currents and prevailing winds etc. Collectively they have accounted for a significantly greater rise in sea level around Florida over the past several years, closer to an inch a year or 20 mm than the 3.2 mm government agencies prefer to talk about.
Then of course there is the not so small matter of a subsiding Floridian landmass. Actually, a slow motion reaction to the disappearance of continental glaciers some 20,000 years ago which pressed down on the centre of the North American continent causing the edges swell up. Latterly they are subsiding, but more so given the softer sedimentary rock structures of the east coast than the rockier volcanic origin west coast. Thus put simply, Florida is sinking at the same time as the seas are rising.
Finally we have the toll of hurricane season. Using 2017’s season as a herald of excessive force to come, we find the hurricanes were more intense. Which is perfectly logical fundamental science, given that a hurricane’s intensity is fed by warmth which maximises power as it travels over increasingly warmer water. Damage caused by hurricanes is predominantly from a combination of wind speed and rain, warmer water of course inevitably results in more water vapour which in turn drops from the sky.
Hurricane Harvey unloaded an utterly abnormal thirty-three [33] trillion gallons of rain on US soil, sadly humankind is so consumed and therefore diverted by the capitalist dream that is utterly unprepared in its ability to harvest, conserve and distribute rainfall water of such proportion [Enough to fill a 3.1- mile-sided cube!]. Multiple Category 5 hurricanes in the Atlantic during 2017 were also absolutely abnormal. And with sinister implications Florida is the focal point for hurricane landings both from the Gulf and from the Atlantic.
For instance, Asia has already witnessed a significant increase in the number and severity of typhoons hitting land as a direct effect of global warming, and this pattern is highly likely to be repeated for Florida, but causing even greater damage due to higher sea levels.
A further complication beleaguering Florida is that it has a limestone problem that on a sliding scale makes holding back the sea difficult to impossible and is therefore likely to expunge fresh water.
Limestone is useful stuff, as it’s fundamentally a rock sponge. Water travels through it quite nicely. It’s permeable and water travels through it remarkably well. The Biscayne Aquifer, southern Florida’s source of fresh water, is basically fresh water sustained in a limestone sponge. As sea levels rise, greater levels salt water soak into the same sponge and degrades the fresh water. Biscayne will become increasingly brackish with the almost certain outcome within a few decades of substantially diminished fresh water availability in southern Florida and much higher prices because of it.
The current climate & natural resources scientific opinion is that, Florida is going to run short of fresh water, be subject to sea water flowing over its sea side infrastructure which when compounded by direct hit hurricanes, will make the area uninhabitable.
Hardly an uplifting story I’m sorry to say, and of course a politically unpalatable tale. Listen up, humankind need stop voting for politicians whose manifesto exhibits a complete refusal to deal with the causes of global warming, this is subject needs to make it to top priority on everybody’s agenda. Beware tropical storm Gordon is already lashing Florida as I write. Avoidance is no longer an option, only putting a seriously workable protective adaptation contingency plan in place wherever the story is similar.